A Thanksgiving 16-14 defeat at the hands of the Chicago Bears may have hurt more than most, as it’s the third time Detroit has lost on a last-second field goal. Detroit is now 0-10-1 on the season.
Among the ironies in this winless drudgery is that the Michigan sports betting market may have you in a decent spot if you’ve bet on Detroit relative to the spread. Detroit has improved to 7-4 against the number, for whatever that’s worth.
Each week, we’re taking stock of where player goals are shaping up on those season-long NFL prop bets.
Next week, we’ll circle back to some of the concrete season-long bets (like division, conference, and win totals), although you almost assuredly know where those are headed.
The next update will come after the Lions host the Minnesota Vikings, who are fighting for their playoff lives themselves.
Remember, too, that each week in a 17-game season now accounts for roughly 5.9% of your season total. So we’re at the 64.7% mark through the campaign after 11 Lions games.
Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings: Week 13 NFL Odds
Detroit Lions DraftKings special prop bets
In addition to some standard team futures, DraftKings Sportsbook was offering these unique regular-season betting markets and parlay combos.
D’Andre Swift over 51.5 receptions AND Breshad Perriman (now with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers) over 740.5 receiving yards, +250
Swift, 56 receptions; Perriman, 19 yards.
Of note: Brashad Perriman made his season debut for Tampa Bay against the New York Giants in Week 11 but managed just 19 receiving yards. He didn’t register in the box score in the Week 12 games against the Indianapolis Colts.
Jamaal Williams over 725.5 rushing yards AND T.J. Hockenson over 5.5 receiving touchdowns, +225
Williams, 388 yards; Hockenson, 3 touchdowns.
Of note: The Swift injury does turn a few heads relative to Williams’ total here. He’ll need to average 57 rushing yards or so over the remaining six games to hit.
Jared Goff over 21.5 touchdown passes AND D’Andre Swift over 7.5 rushing touchdowns AND T.J. Hockenson over 775.5 receiving yards, +550
Goff, 10 touchdowns; Swift, 4 touchdowns; Hockenson, 534 yards.
Romeo Okwara over 8.5 sacks AND Amon-Ra St. Brown over 500.5 receiving yards, +275
Okwara, 1 sack; St. Brown, 352 yards.
Of note: Okwara suffered a torn Achilles tendon against the Bears in Week 4, bringing his season (and the prospects of this bet) to a premature end.
Lions-focused DraftKings match prop bets
DraftKings also had a few individual head-to-head bets involving Lions players.
More passing yards: Jared Goff (-150) vs. Ryan Fitzpatrick (+115)
Goff, 2,280 yards, Fitzpatrick, 13 yards.
Of note: Taylor Heinicke is surging as Washington’s quarterback late in the season. One wouldn’t expect Fitzpatrick to hit the field again. So no matter what Goff does or doesn’t do the rest of the season, this one will be a winner.
More passing touchdowns: Jared Goff (-110) vs. Zach Wilson (-120)
Goff, 10 touchdowns; Wilson, 4 touchdowns.
Of note: Wilson returned to action against the Houston Texans last week but didn’t throw a touchdown. Significant advantage, Goff.
More rushing yards: D’Andre Swift (-165) vs. Mike Davis (+120)
Swift, 555 yards; Davis, 306 yards.
Of note: Swift has taken charge in recent weeks, but his injury brings more doubt into this bet than one would expect.
More rushing touchdowns: D’Andre Swift (-130) vs. David Montgomery (+100)
Swift, 4 touchdowns; Montgomery, 3 touchdowns.
Of note: Ditto the Swift uncertainty here, too.
Select Detroit Lions 2021 NFL player prop bets
Jared Goff NFL props
Passing yards (2,280 so far in 2021)
- Over/under 4,015.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook (-112 each way)
- DraftKings: 3,995.5 (-115 each way)
- BetMGM Sportsbook: 3,995.5 (-110 each way)
Passing touchdowns (10)
- DraftKings: 20.5 (over -110, under -120)
- BetMGM: 20.5 (over -115, under -110)
- DraftKings: 13.5 (over/under, each -115)
Of note: Barring a late-season collapse on the turnover front, Goff’s interception total looks safe on the under.
T.J. Hockenson NFL props
Receiving yards (534)
- FanDuel: 775.5 (over -118, under -108)
- DraftKings: 770.5 (over/under, each -115)
- BetMGM: 775.5 (over/under, each -110)
Receiving touchdowns (3)
- DraftKings: 5 (over -120, under -110)
- DraftKings: 77.5 (over/under, each -115)
Of note: The yardages total is still trending decently, and the receptions number should hit. But the touchdowns … that’s left to fate.
D’Andre Swift NFL props
Rushing yards (555)
- FanDuel: 875.5 (over -102, under -126)
- DraftKings: 900.5 (over -110, under -120)
- BetMGM: 900.5 (over/under, each -110)
Rushing touchdowns (4)
- DraftKings: 8.5 (over +110, under -140)
- DraftKings: 52.5 (over/under, each -110)
Of note: Receptions mark? A win! Rushing yards and touchdowns? D’Andre Swift’s shoulder injury is a huge setback.
Romeo Okwara NFL props
- DraftKings: 7.5 (over +110, under -140)
Of note: The Achilles tendon tear ripples into this bet, too.