We’re mere days from Thanksgiving, but the tryptophan won’t be necessary to send you into a stupor if you’re a Detroit Lions fan.
Detroit was competitive in a scoreboard sense in its latest loss, a 13-10 setback to the Cleveland Browns that drops the Lions to 0-9-1 on the season. But sheesh.
This 2021 NFL season season in Detroit is sleepy. What could have been anger a few weeks ago is most likely apathy now. And yet, the Michigan sports betting market may have you in a decent spot, depending on your read on Lions games. Detroit has improved to 6-4 against the spread, for whatever that’s worth.
Each week, we’re taking stock of where player goals are shaping up on season-long NFL prop bets.
You might know our drill by now. But we’ll circle back to some of the concrete season-long bets (like division, conference, and win totals) around every fourth week or so and peek at stats-based prop bets following each game.
The next update will come after the Lions host the Chicago Bears in a very winnable (gasp!) Thanksgiving Day game.
Remember, too, that each week in a 17-game season now accounts for roughly 5.9% of your season total. So we’re at the 58.8% mark through the campaign after nine Lions games.
Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears: Week 12 NFL Odds
Detroit Lions DraftKings special prop bets
In addition to some standard team futures, DraftKings Sportsbook was offering these unique regular-season betting markets and parlay combos.
D’Andre Swift over 51.5 receptions AND Breshad Perriman (now with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers) over 740.5 receiving yards, +250
Swift, 53 receptions; Perriman, minus-3 yards.
Of note: Brashad Perriman made his season debut on Monday night! … And caught a pass for minus-3 yards. Even the Lions can’t manage that.
Jamaal Williams over 725.5 rushing yards AND T.J. Hockenson over 5.5 receiving touchdowns, +225
Williams, 323 yards; Hockenson, 2 touchdowns.
Of note: Williams’ portion of this bet is taking on water after just 11 yards Sunday against the Browns. Hockenson’s part in all this is astoundingly dry, too, without a touchdown since Week 2.
Jared Goff over 21.5 touchdown passes AND D’Andre Swift over 7.5 rushing touchdowns AND T.J. Hockenson over 775.5 receiving yards, +550
Goff, 8 touchdowns; Swift, 4 touchdowns; Hockenson, 499 yards.
Romeo Okwara over 8.5 sacks AND Amon-Ra St. Brown over 500.5 receiving yards, +275
Okwara, 1 sack; St. Brown, 329 yards.
Of note: Okwara reportedly suffered a torn Achilles tendon against the Bears in Week 4, likely bringing his season (and the prospects of this bet) to a premature end.
Lions-focused DraftKings match prop bets
DraftKings also had a few individual head-to-head bets involving Lions players.
More passing yards: Jared Goff (-150) vs. Ryan Fitzpatrick (+115)
Goff, 2,109 yards, Fitzpatrick, 13 yards.
Of note: Taylor Heinicke is surging as Washington’s quarterback late in the season. One wouldn’t expect Fitzpatrick to hit the field again. So no matter what Goff does or doesn’t do the rest of the season, this one will be a winner.
More passing touchdowns: Jared Goff (-110) vs. Zach Wilson (-120)
Goff, 8 touchdowns; Wilson, 4 touchdowns.
Of note: The injury bug continues to favor Goff here, too, as Wilson is still missing time with a sprained PCL in his right knee. That’s about the only thing keeping Goff ahead in this ugly race.
More rushing yards: D’Andre Swift (-165) vs. Mike Davis (+120)
Swift, 555 yards; Davis, 290 yards.
Of note: Swift has taken charge with his 266 yards in the past two weeks.
More rushing touchdowns: D’Andre Swift (-130) vs. David Montgomery (+100)
Swift, 4 touchdowns; Montgomery, 3 touchdowns.
Of note: Swift’s reemergence in Weeks 10 and 11 has pushed him ahead in this touchdown race, much to some observers’ surprise.
Select Detroit Lions 2021 NFL player prop bets
Jared Goff NFL props
Passing yards (2,019 so far in 2021)
- Over/under 4,015.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook (-112 each way)
- DraftKings: 3,995.5 (-115 each way)
- BetMGM Sportsbook: 3,995.5 (-110 each way)
Passing touchdowns (8)
- DraftKings: 20.5 (over -110, under -120)
- BetMGM: 20.5 (over -115, under -110)
- DraftKings: 13.5 (over/under, each -115)
Of note: Goff’s absence from Sunday’s game against Cleveland with an oblique injury puts the yardage and touchdown records in deep trouble.
T.J. Hockenson NFL props
Receiving yards (499)
- FanDuel: 775.5 (over -118, under -108)
- DraftKings: 770.5 (over/under, each -115)
- BetMGM: 775.5 (over/under, each -110)
Receiving touchdowns (2)
- DraftKings: 5 (over -120, under -110)
- DraftKings: 77.5 (over/under, each -115)
Of note: The yardages total is still trending fine, and the receptions number should hit. But the touchdowns … that’s left to fate.
D’Andre Swift NFL props
Rushing yards (555)
- FanDuel: 875.5 (over -102, under -126)
- DraftKings: 900.5 (over -110, under -120)
- BetMGM: 900.5 (over/under, each -110)
Rushing touchdowns (4)
- DraftKings: 8.5 (over +110, under -140)
- DraftKings: 52.5 (over/under, each -110)
Of note: Receptions mark? A win! Rushing yards? The past two weeks have made this category interesting. Rushing touchdowns? Still needing some help.
Romeo Okwara NFL props
- DraftKings: 7.5 (over +110, under -140)
Of note: The Achilles tendon tear ripples into this bet, too.