Tom Brady is no stranger to the Super Bowl. In fact, they’re probably best buds by now.
The former Michigan Wolverine is set to appear in his record-setting 10th Super Bowl next Sunday. He will lead the Tampa Bay Buccaneers against the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl 55.
Given his sterling Super Bowl history, what can Michigan online sports betting fans expect from Brady in the big game? Understanding, of course, that Michigan holds a soft spot for the six-time champion and “native son,” we’ve compiled some of the best bets for all the Tom Brady fans out there.
And we know you are out there.
Bucs an underdog going into the Super Bowl
Super Bowl LV will take place on Sunday, Feb. 7 and air live on CBS at 6:30 p.m. ET.
The odds are ever-changing, but as of this writing the Chiefs are a 3-point favorite against the Bucs for the big game.
Brady is bringing in his second team to the Super Bowl, as he had a 6-3 record with the New England Patriots in his previous nine Super Bowl appearances.
The Bucs and Chiefs collided back on Nov. 29, with Kansas City earning a 27-24 victory. In that loss for Tampa, Brady finished with 345 passing yards and three touchdowns.
Tom Brady expected to push for 300 yards
One of the main prop bets for Tom Brady in the 2021 Super Bowl will be his passing yards.
Here’s where the odds currently sit:
- DraftKings: Over 295.5 (-112)/Under 295.5 (-112)
- BetMGM: Over 300.5 (-110)/Under 300.5 (-110)
- PointsBet: Over 302.5 (-115)/Under 302.5 (-115)
- WilliamHill: Over 301.5 (-115)/Under 301.5 (-115)
Most of the oddsmakers like Tom Brady to get to the 300-yard mark against the Chiefs, as he did in the first meeting.
Looking back at his past Super Bowl performances, you can throw out his debut in Super Bowl 36 when he threw for just 145 yards and 1 TD.
Of his nine appearances, Brady has thrown over 300 yards in four of them. In the ones he didn’t, two were the losses to the New York Giants. The others were his debut, a Super Bowl in the rain, and the 13-3 defensive slugfest against the Los Angeles Rams in Super Bowl LIII.
In this edition, Brady is up against a Kansas City defense that ranks 14th in the NFL in passing defense, allowing 236.2 yards per game.
Expect some touchdown passes, too
Brady is a QB that certainly knows how to find the end zone. He threw for 40 touchdown passes during the regular season and has another seven in three playoff games.
His prop odds for the Super Bowl provide a lot of options.
- DraftKings: Over 1.5 (-215)/Under 1.5 (+165); Over 2.5 (+150)/Under 2.5 (-190)
- BetMGM: Over 2.5 (+140)/Under 2.5 (-175)
- WilliamHill: Over 2.5 (+140)/Under 2.5 (-170)
In six of Brady’s nine Super Bowl appearances, he has thrown for at least two touchdown passes. In three of them, he has thrown for at least three.
This season, Brady has had at least two TD passes in 15 of his 19 games. That includes all three postseason games and the loss to the Chiefs. Brady has put up three or more touchdowns in seven of his 19 games.
Brady seeks fifth Super Bowl MVP title
Nobody has won more Super Bowl MVP honors than Tom Brady. The four-time winner collected the honor in 2002, 2004, 2015, and 2017.
While the Bucs are the underdog for this year’s game, Brady still remains the favorite to collect the honor on the Tampa Bay side of things.
Only BetMGM currently has Super Bowl MVP odds listed. They list Brady at +200 to win. Patrick Mahomes of Kansas City is the favorite at +100.
Along with Brady’s historic performances in the game, the Super Bowl MVP has leaned heavily toward quarterbacks. In its history, 30 different quarterbacks have collected the honor in the 55 times the award has been given.
Other Super Bowl prop bets to consider
There are nearly an infinite amount of wagers you can make on Brady for this game. Here are some notable Super Bowl prop wagers to consider:
- Tom Brady Passing Attempts (WilliamHill): Over 39.5 (-125)/Under 39.5 (-105)
Brady hasn’t been shy about tossing the ball around this season. He had 610 attempts during the regular season, an average of 38.1 per game. He averaged 36.3 over the three playoff games. In the previous meeting with KC, Brady had 41 pass attempts. Playing from behind would certainly increase the value of the over in this one.
- Tom Brady Rushing Yards (DraftKings): Over 0.5 (+165)/Under 0.5 (-210)
Brady certainly isn’t fleet afoot but he has mastered the short-yardage sneak. In five games this season, Brady recorded positive rushing yards. He had one attempt against Kansas City earlier this season but lost a yard.
- Yards of First Tom Brady Touchdown Pass (FanDuel): Over 12.5 yards (-115)/Under 12.5 (-115)
In the first meeting with the Chiefs, Brady had two TD passes of over 30 yards and a 7-yard TD to Mike Evans. During this postseason, four of his seven TD passes have been over 12.5 yards.
- Longest Completion for Tom Brady (PointsBet): 0-24 yards (+400); 25-39 (+120); 40-54 (+195); 55+ (+390)
A lot of talk is made of Brady’s arm strength in recent years. The 43-year-old veteran may not be able to go as deep as he once did, but he still has explosive playmakers. Against the Chiefs, Brady completed a 48-yard pass, and he has completed a pass of at least 40 yards in 10 of 19 games this season.